Premi asuransi dan loss reserve untuk keterlambatan pesawat terbang maskapai xyz menggunakan standar deviasi dan naïve bayes

Prasetya, Deandra Vania (2021) Premi asuransi dan loss reserve untuk keterlambatan pesawat terbang maskapai xyz menggunakan standar deviasi dan naïve bayes. Bachelor thesis, Universitas Pelita Harapan.

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Abstract

Transportasi menggunakan pesawat terbang sudah menjadi sebuah hal yang umum bagi manusia. Pesawat terbang menawarkan kemudahan dan kecepatan dalam bepergian. Transportasi ini tidak terhindar dari beberapa masalah, salah satunya adalah keterlambatan keberangkatan atau lebih dikenal dengan delay. Risiko terhadap keterlambatan pesawat terbang dapat dikurangi dengan adanya premi yang dibayarkan penumpang. Dengan adanya asuransi ini maskapai penerbangan juga harus menyiapkan dana loss reserve untuk klaim di masa depan. Keterlambatan yang dialami pesawat terbang dipengaruhi oleh berbagai faktor. Melalui faktor-faktor ini dapat dicari nilai premi menggunakan standard deviation premium dan juga dilakukan prediksi keterlambatan di masa depan berdasarkan model Naïve Bayes. Hasil prediksi ini akan membantu maskapai untuk menghitung estimated loss reserve yang diperlukan. Premi rata-rata untuk maskapai XYZ ada pada angka 35 ribu rupiah sedangkan premi untuk masing-masing kategori yang ditentukan nilainya berbeda-beda. Prediksi menggunakan variabel independen kota asal dan tujuan, hari keberangkatan, dan waktu keberangkatan. Pesawat terlambat atau tidak terlambat sebagai variabel responnya. Data prediksi yang dianalisis menghasilkan nilai estimated loss reserve sebesar 17 miliar rupiah untuk seluruh penerbangan. / Air travel is one of the best innovation in human history. It provides convenience for humans to travel around the world. The air travel industry is still trying to solve one of their biggest problems, which is flight delays. The risk of flight delays can be reduced by the premium paid by the passengers. However, the airlines must prepare the lost reserve fund for future claims. In some airlines, flight delays caused by various factors. By all those factors, the premium value can be determined by using the standard deviation premium and use the Naïve Bayes model to predict flight delays in the future. The result of these predictions will help the airlines to calculate the estimated loss reserve fund. The average premium of XYZ airline is 35,000 rupiah, while the other premium for each category is determined with different values. The prediction uses the departure city, destination city, departure day, and departure time as the independent variables. The response variable is whether the flight delayed or not. The analyzed data generate an estimated loss reserve of 17 billion rupiah for all flights.

Item Type: Thesis (Bachelor)
Creators:
CreatorsNIMEmail
Prasetya, Deandra VaniaNIM00000026325deandra.vp@gmail.com
Contributors:
ContributionContributorsNIDN/NIDKEmail
Thesis advisorLukas, SamuelNIDN0331076001samuel.lukas@uph.edu
Thesis advisorKrisnadi, DionNIDN0316029002dion.krisnadi@uph.edu
Uncontrolled Keywords: keterlambatan pesawat terbang; premi; naïve bayes; estimated loss reserve
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions: University Subject > Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics
Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics
Depositing User: Users 5971 not found.
Date Deposited: 03 Mar 2021 01:54
Last Modified: 03 Mar 2021 01:54
URI: http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/23914

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