Angela, Nancy (2007) Studi tentang peramalan harga saham perbankan (LQ45) di BEJ dengan menggunakan metode ARIMA. Masters thesis, Universitas Pelita Harapan.
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Abstract
The activations of share's prices in BEJ were having their own characteristic and
rules. To minimized investment risk in trading of shares, some techniques had been
developed under certain assumption to improved prediction ability of individual
share's price accurately. Technical methodology that had been developed to predict
the activation of share's price based on statistic was autoregressive model which
called ARIMA (p,d,q) . This method had assumption that the share 's price present and
in the future was influenced by share's price previously. ARIMA (p,d,q) model was a
tool to develop prediction model, had a non stationer characteristic, suitable to
predicted activation of data's trend in the same manner of share's price activation. / Pergerakan harga saham di BEJ merupakan sesuatu yang memiliki karakteristik dan
keteraturan sendiri.Untuk meminimalkan resiko investasi dalam perdagangan saham,
berbagai teknik dikembangkan dengan asumsi tertentu untuk meningkatkan
kemampuan prediksi harga saham individual secara akurat. Metode teknikal yang
dikembangkan untuk memprediksi pergerakan harga saham yang bersandar pada
teknis statistik adalah model autoregressive yang dikenal ARIMA (p,d,q). Metode ini
mengasumsikan bahwa harga saham sekarang dan yang akan datang dipengaruhi oleh
harga saham sebelumnya. Model ARIMA(p,d,q) yang menjadi alat bantu utama untuk
pembangunan model peramalan memiliki sifat nonstasioner yang cocok untuk
meramal pergerakan data yang bersifat trend sebagaimana pergerakan harga saham
pada umumnya.
Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
---|---|
Creators: | Creators NIM Email ORCID Angela, Nancy NIM03920050004 UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED |
Contributors: | Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Muljono, Muljono UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED |
Additional Information: | T 39-05 ANG s |
Subjects: | T Technology > T Technology (General) > T55.4-60.8 Industrial engineering. Management engineering |
Divisions: | University Subject > Historic > Faculty/School > Department of Master of Industrial Engineering Program Historic > Faculty/School > Department of Master of Industrial Engineering Program |
Depositing User: | Phillips Iman Heri Wahyudi |
Date Deposited: | 27 Feb 2021 02:46 |
Last Modified: | 18 Nov 2021 03:20 |
URI: | http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/22706 |