Wongso, Wongso (2019) Perbandingan kinerja cross sectional dan time series momentum di Indonesia. Masters thesis, Universitas Pelita Harapan.
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Abstract
Momentum studies on stock trading tend to be done with
cross sectional approach. However, at this time the research approach
time series is claimed to give better results than cross sectional.
Therefore, this study uses stock trading data for 20
years (1997 s / d 2018) of large cap companies (80th percentile)
to explain the cross sectional approach to momentum and time series
momentum in Indonesia.
This study seeks to answer problems regarding the approach
which momentum results in better performance, what causes
the differences between the two momentum approaches, and how
the result is when time series momentum is compared with cross sectional time
varying investment (CSTVM). Stock return calculation with ranking period
for one, three, six, nine, 12, 36, and 60 months as well as a holding period
for one, three, six, nine, 12, 36, and 60 months indicates that time
Momentum series performs better than cross sectional momentum
generally. This is reinforced by the regression of returns between the approaches
(cross alpha comparison). This difference in performance is due to the construction of
each of the strategies where time series momentum is a net long
position strategy while cross sectional momentum is zero net
investment strategy. Thus this study compares again
Time series performance with cross sectional momentum which has been scaled up with additional time series investment, so it is called CSTVM. On
Finally this research shows that time series is again momentum
superior to CSTVM. / Studi momentum pada perdagangan saham cenderung dilakukan dengan
pendekatan cross sectional. Namun pada dewasa ini penelitian dengan pendekatan
time series diklaim memberikan hasil yang lebih baik daripada cross sectional.
Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini menggunakan data perdagangan saham selama 20
tahun (1997 s/d 2018) dari perusahaan yang berkapitalisasi besar (percentile 80)
untuk menjelaskan pendekatan cross sectional momentum dan time series
momentum di Indonesia.
Penelitian ini berusaha menjawab permasalahan mengenai pendekatan
momentum mana yang menghasilkan kinerja lebih baik, apa yang menyebabkan
adanya perbedaan dari kedua pendekatan momentum tersebut, serta bagaimana
hasilnya bila time series momentum dibandingkan dengan cross sectional time
varying investment (CSTVM). Kalkulasi return saham dengan ranking period
selama satu, tiga, enam, sembilan, 12, 36, dan 60 bulan serta holding period
selama satu, tiga, enam, sembilan, 12, 36, dan 60 bulan menunjukkan bahwa time
series momentum berkinerja lebih baik dibandingkan cross sectional momentum
secara umum. Hal ini diperkuat kembali oleh regresi return antar pendekatan
(cross alpha comparison). Perbedaan kinerja ini disebabkan oleh konstruksi dari
masing-masing strategi dimana time series momentum merupakan net long
position strategy sedangkan cross sectional momentum merupakan zero net
investment strategy. Dengan demikian penelitian ini membandingkan kembali
kinerja time series momentum dengan cross sectional momentum yang telah discale up dengan tambahan investasi time series, sehingga disebut CSTVM. Pada
akhirnya penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa lagi – lagi time series momentum
lebih unggul dari CSTVM.
Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
---|---|
Creators: | Creators NIM Email ORCID Wongso, Wongso NIM01619170072 UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED |
Contributors: | Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Kim, Sung Suk NIDN0324106805 UNSPECIFIED |
Additional Information: | T 19-17 WON p |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | cross sectional momentum ; time series momentum ; cross sectional time varying investment (CSTVM) |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management |
Divisions: | University Subject > Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Business School > Master of Management Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Business School > Master of Management |
Depositing User: | Phillips Iman Heri Wahyudi |
Date Deposited: | 07 May 2021 04:51 |
Last Modified: | 06 Aug 2021 03:23 |
URI: | http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/35666 |