Sutanto, Andy Christian (2012) Perancangan aplikasi peramalan permintaan untuk ukm. Bachelor thesis, Universtitas Pelita Harapan.
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Abstract
Di satu sisi sebuah badan usaha perlu meminimalkan biaya akibat penyimpanan
barang, namun di sisi yang lain badan usaha dituntut untuk memenuhi permintaan
pelanggan dengan baik dan tepat waktu. Untuk menyeimbangkan antara pemenuhan
permintaan dan biaya dari penyimpanan barang, maka diperlukan sebuah peramalan
permintaan yang baik. Sayangnya, kebanyakan badan- badan usaha yang kecil (UKM)
tidak menerapkan sistem peramalan permintaan dalam usahanya oleh karena
ketidaktahuan akan peramalan permintaan dan kegunaannya. Oleh karena itu, diperlukan
sebuah aplikasi peramalan permintaan untuk membantu para UKM dalam meramalkan
permintaannya tanpa harus mempelajari sendiri metode- metode dalam peramalan.
Pengumpulan data dilakukan dengan wawancara terhadap beberapa pemilik UKM
dan pengujian aplikasi dilakukan dengan menggunakan data permintaan dari beberapa
UKM. Metode peramalan permintaan yang dilakukan menggunakan dua metode, yaitu
Brown’s Linear Method dan Linear Moving Average dengan metode kesalahan
peramalan MAPE. Aplikasi peramalan permintaan dibuat menggunakan Visual Basic 6
dan SQL Server 2000.
Melalui penelitian ini diperoleh kesimpulan bahwa dengan adanya aplikasi peramalan
permintaan, maka para UKM yang masih awam dengan peramalan dapat melakukan
peramalan permintaan dengan lebih mudah dan murah. UKM- UKM tersebut tidak perlu
mempelajari metode- metode peramalan sendiri ataupun membeli aplikasi peramalan
yang mahal, namun cukup menggunakan aplikasi peramalan ini / On the one hand, an enterprise needs to minimize costs due to storage of goods, but
on the other enterprise is required to meet customer demand properly on time. To
balance between fulfilling the demand and cost of storage of goods, it would require a
good demand forecasting. Unfortunately, most small enterprises (SMEs) do not
implement demand forecasting system in its efforts because of ignorance of forecasting
demand and usefulness. Therefore, it needs a demand forecasting application to assist
SMEs in forecasting demand without having to learn in forecasting methods on their
own.
Data was collected through interviews with some of the owners of SMEs and
application testing was done using data demands of some SMEs. Demand forecasting
method used was Brown's Linear Method and Linear Moving Average forecasting error
MAPE method. Demand forecasting application was created using Visual Basic 6 and
SQL Server 2000.
Through this study it is concluded that with the application of forecasting demand,
then the SMEs that still new to forecasting demand can do more easily and cheaply. They
do not need to learn the methods of forecasting on their own or buy expensive forecasting
applications, but simply use this forecasting application
Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor) |
---|---|
Creators: | Creators NIM Email ORCID Sutanto, Andy Christian NIM03320080001 UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED |
Contributors: | Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Setiawan, Kuswara UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED Thesis advisor Trihastuti, Dian UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED |
Subjects: | T Technology > T Technology (General) > T55.4-60.8 Industrial engineering. Management engineering |
Divisions: | University Subject > Current > Faculty/School - UPH Surabaya > Faculty of Science and Technology > Industrial Engineering Current > Faculty/School - UPH Surabaya > Faculty of Science and Technology > Industrial Engineering |
Depositing User: | Rafael Rudy |
Date Deposited: | 14 Oct 2022 08:44 |
Last Modified: | 14 Oct 2022 08:44 |
URI: | http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/50785 |