Muliadiredja, Timothy Sean (2025) Perbandingan metode tradisional dengan metode clusteringdalammodel fama-frenchuntukanalisis return portofolio saham berdasarka nenvironmental, social, and governance (esg) = Comparisonoftraditionalmethodsandclusteringin fama-french model for analyzing stock portfolio returns based on environmental, social, and governance(esg). Bachelor thesis, Universitas Pelita Harapan.
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Abstract
PenelitianinimengkajipengaruhEnvironmental,Social,andGovernance(ESG)
terhadap return sahamdi Indonesia. DataESGtahun2023digunakanuntuk
merepresentasikan kinerja jangka panjang perusahaan secara komprehensif.
Analisis dilakukan menggunakan model Fama-French yang dikombinasikan
denganmachinelearning(ClusteringdanGeneticAlgorithm).Metodeclustering
danpendekatantradisionaldigunakanuntukklasifikasiukuran(kecil,sedang,dan
besar) pada variabel independen model Fama-French, sedangkan Genetic
Algorithm, equal-weighted, dan value-weighted digunakan untukmembentuk
portofoliopadavariabel dependen. Penelitian ini tidakbertujuanmenyangkal
teknik Fama-French tradisional, melainkanmemberikan perbandingan antara
pendekatan tradisional dan penggunaanmachine learning. Hasil penelitian
menunjukkanbahwaperusahaandengannilai ESGtinggi, sedang, dan rendah
secarakonsistenmenghasilkanreturnlebihtinggidibandingkanperusahaantanpa
nilaiESG.Pendekatantradisionaldanclusteringmenghasilkanhasilserupauntuk
variabel seperti Intercept, MRP, danMOM, meskipun ditemukan perbedaan
signifikanpadavariabelHML, yangmenunjukkanadanyaperbedaannilai yang
dihasilkanantarakeduametode. Dari segi portofolio,metode equalweighted
memberikan kestabilan terbaik bagi investor konservatif, sementara genetic
algorithmmenawarkanalternatifyanglebihstabildibandingkanportofoliovalue
weightedyanglebihfluktuatif. Tidakterdapatperbedaansignifikanantaramodel
Fama-French 3, 5, dan 6 dalammengevaluasi dampak ESG. Penelitian ini
berkontribusipadaliteraturESGdipasarberkembang,khususnyaIndonesia,serta
memberikanwawasanbagi investordanpembuatkebijakan. Keterbatasanseperti
kegagalanujiasumsiklasikperludievaluasidalampenelitianselanjutnya. / ThisstudyexaminestheimpactofEnvironmental,Social,andGovernance(ESG)
onstock returns in Indonesia. ESGdata from2023wasused to represent the
long-termperformance of companies more comprehensively. The analysis
combinestheFama-Frenchmodelwithmachinelearningmethods(Clusteringand
GeneticAlgorithm). Theclusteringmethodandtraditionalapproacheswereused
toclassifysizes (small,medium, andlarge) for the independentvariables inthe
Fama-French model, while the Genetic Algorithm, equal-weighted, and
value-weightedmethodswereapplied toconstruct portfolios for thedependent
variables.Thisstudydoesnotaimtoreject thetraditionalFama-Frenchtechnique
but rather toprovideacomparisonbetween traditionalmethodsand theuseof
machinelearning. Theresultsshowthatcompanieswithhigh,medium, andlow
ESGscoresconsistentlydeliverhigherreturnscomparedtonon-ESGcompanies.
Traditionalapproachesandclusteringproducedsimilar resultsforvariablessuch
asIntercept,MRP,andMOM,butsignificantdifferenceswerefoundintheHML
variable, showingdiscrepanciesbetween the twomethods. For portfolios, the
equal-weightedmethod provided the best stability for conservative investors,
while theGeneticAlgorithmofferedamore stablealternativecompared to the
morevolatilevalue-weightedportfolios. Therewerenosignificant differences
amongtheFama-French3,5,and6modelsinevaluatingESGimpacts.Thisstudy
contributes toESGliterature inemergingmarkets, especially Indonesia, while
providinginsightsforinvestorsandpolicymakers.Limitations,suchasthefailure
ofclassicalassumptiontests,shouldbeevaluatedinfuturestudies.
Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor) |
---|---|
Creators: | Creators NIM Email ORCID Muliadiredja, Timothy Sean NIM01112210018 timothysm88@gmail.com UNSPECIFIED |
Contributors: | Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Ferdinand, Ferry Vincenttius NIDN0323059001 ferry.vincenttius@uph.edu Thesis advisor Saputra, Kie Van Ivanky NIDN0401038203 kie.saputra@uph.edu |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | ESG; return saham; investasi; Fama-French; genetic algorithm; ESG; stockreturns; investment; Fama-French; geneticalgorithm. |
Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics |
Divisions: | University Subject > Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics |
Depositing User: | Stefanus Tanjung |
Date Deposited: | 10 Aug 2025 02:40 |
Last Modified: | 10 Aug 2025 02:40 |
URI: | http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/70438 |