Sukrisna, Kezia Amadea (2025) Strategi natural hedging untuk manajemen risiko pada asuransi penyakit kritis dan kombinasi jiwa-pensiun = Natural hedging strategy for risk management in critical illness and combined life-pension insurance. Bachelor thesis, Universitas Pelita Harapan.
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Abstract
Longevity risk, morbidity risk, dan mortality risk merupakan tantangan utama yang
dihadapi perusahaan asuransi ketika mengelola aset dan kewajiban terkait
pembayaran manfaat asuransi. Penelitian ini menggunakan strategi natural
hedging untuk menjaga keseimbangan antara ekspektasi kewajiban dan aset
perusahaan dengan pendekatan teori imunisasi Redington. Adapun tujuan utama
dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menentukan komposisi optimal antara asuransi
penyakit kritis dan asuransi kombinasi jiwa-pensiun sehingga mampu
meminimalkan risiko-risiko terkait kedua produk asuransi tersebut.
Pada
penelitian ini, model mortalitas yang digunakan adalah double decrement, dengan
exit diagnosis penyakit kritis dan meninggal selain akibat penyakit kritis. Strategi
natural hedging dilakukan dengan pendekatan satu variabel dan dua variabel.
Proyeksi tingkat mortalitas dan morbiditas dilakukan menggunakan model M7
untuk pria, sedangkan untuk wanita, mortalitas dimodelkan dengan model
Renshaw-Haberman (RH) dan model M7 untuk morbiditas. Penelitian ini juga
mengevaluasi perbedaan komposisi produk optimal antara kedua pendekatan serta
membandingkan hasilnya pada kelompok pria dan wanita. Ditemukan bahwa
pendekatan dua variabel lebih baik dibanding satu variabel karena lebih stabil,
selain itu pada usia yang sama, k-ratio pada wanita cenderung lebih tinggi
dibanding pria. Hasil penelitian ini juga menunjukkan bahwa komposisi optimal
antara kedua produk, yaitu k-ratio, yang diperoleh melalui strategi natural hedging
mampu meminimalisir risiko yang dihadapi perusahaan. / Longevity risk, morbidity risk, and mortality risk are critical challenges faced by
insurance companies in managing assets and liabilities associated with insurance
benefit payments. This study employs a natural hedging strategy to ensure
equilibrium between the expected liabilities and assets of the company, utilizing
the Redington Immunization theory. The primary objective of this research is to
determine the optimal product composition between critical illness insurance and
life-pension combination insurance to mitigate the risks inherent in these insurance
products. The study adopts a double decrement mortality model, which accounts
for exits due to the diagnosis of critical illness and death from causes unrelated to
critical illness.
The natural hedging strategy is implemented using both
single-variable and two-variable approaches. Mortality and morbidity projections
are carried out using the M7 model for males, while for females, mortality is
modeled with the Renshaw-Haberman (RH) model, and morbidity is modeled
using the M7 model. Furthermore, the study evaluates the differences in optimal
product composition between the two approaches and compares the outcomes
across male and female cohorts. The findings indicate that the two-variable
approach demonstrates superior stability compared to the single-variable approach.
Additionally, at equivalent ages, the k-ratio for females is generally higher than
that for males. The results confirm that the optimal product composition,
expressed as the k-ratio, derived from the natural hedging strategy effectively
minimizes the risks faced by insurance companies.
Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor) |
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Creators: | Creators NIM Email ORCID Sukrisna, Kezia Amadea NIM01112210024 keziaamadea20603@gmail.com UNSPECIFIED |
Contributors: | Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Margaretha, Helena NIDN0312057504 helena.margaretha@uph.edu Thesis advisor Saputra, Kie Van Ivanky NIDN0401038203 kie.saputra@uph.edu |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | natural hedging; double decrement; imunisasi redington; Renshaw dan Haberman; M7; natural hedging; double decrement; Redington immunization; Renshaw and Haberman; M7. |
Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics |
Divisions: | University Subject > Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics |
Depositing User: | Stefanus Tanjung |
Date Deposited: | 10 Aug 2025 02:53 |
Last Modified: | 10 Aug 2025 02:53 |
URI: | http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/70439 |