Satyahadi, Nicholas (2020) Simulasi perilaku investasi berdasarkan model utilitas yang dipengaruhi oleh risiko investasi = Simulating investment behavior using an investment risk-influenced utility model. Bachelor thesis, Universitas Pelita Harapan.
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Abstract
Investasi merupakan salah satu metode yang digunakan individu dalam
memperoleh keuntungan. Keuntungan yang diperoleh bergantung pada produk
investasi yang dipilih. Tingkat utilitas hasil investasi adalah tolak ukur individu
dalam memilih produk investasi. Tingkat utilitas tersebut dipengaruhi oleh risiko
tingkat pengembalian investasi yang berfluktuasi. Berdasarkan hal tersebut,
dibentuk suatu model maksimalisasi utilitas dengan kondisi pembelian satu dan
dua produk investasi untuk individu risk averse serta asumsi produk investasi yang
ditawarkan adalah investasi kesehatan dan keuangan. Model utilitas digunakan
untuk menentukan biaya produk investasi yang berkenan bagi individu
berdasarkan tingkat utilitas maksimumnya. Dalam mengestimasi biaya tersebut,
dilakukan simulasi menggunakan data dari suatu kelompok pelanggan yang dituju.
Simulasi dilakukan dengan membentuk distribusi dari data yang digunakan pada
model sekaligus memproyeksi nilai di masa depan. Metode tersebut digunakan
untuk memperoleh perilaku investasi dari populasi yang berupa rata-rata biaya
investasi yang berkenan, keputusan investasi, dan relasi antar kedua produk
berdasarkan Edgeworth-Pareto. Skripsi ini memanfaatkan model maksimalisasi
utilitas yang disimulasikan menggunakan data tahun 2005 hingga 2018 dari New
York City untuk mengestimasi perilaku investasi di tahun 2019. Dengan
menggunakan produk investasi kesehatan buatan dan deposito sebagai produk
investasi keuangan, diperoleh bahwa kedua produk berelasi substitusi pada setiap
kondisi pembelian dua produk. Relasi tersebut juga tercermin dari jumlah cakupan
investasi kesehatan dan keuangan yang selalu bernilai 100%. Kemudian, biaya
produk investasi yang berkenan bagi individu terlihat meningkat seiring
berjalannya waktu dan tidak terpengaruh oleh keadaan ekonomi saat itu. Walaupun
demikian, produk investasi yang ditawarkan kepada suatu individu harus
menyesuaikan keputusan investasi individu. Penyesuaian ini bertujuan untuk
membentuk produk investasi dengan biaya yang berkenan bagi individu./Investment is one of the instruments used by an individual in order to acquire
benefits. Such a benefit depends on the chosen investment. When choosing an
investment, one would consider their post-investment utility level. The investment
utility level is affected by the return on investment that fluctuates as a risk faced by
individuals. With this realization, a utility maximization model was made for
risk-averse individuals for both one and two investment(s) purchased assuming the
offered products are health and financial investments. The utility model is able to
determine the preferred investment cost based on their maximum utility. Hence,
simulation using the data from the targeted customer segmentation is implemented
to estimate the preferred cost. As part of the simulation, the simulated distribution
of the data was made for observation and forecasting purposes. This method is
used in order to acquire the individual investing behaviors, which are the mean
preferred investment cost, investment decision, and Edgeworth-Pareto relation on
two products. In this thesis, the utility model is simulated using New York City
dataset from 2005 to 2018 in order to simulate the investing behavior of the
individuals in 2019. By using simulated health investment and deposit as a
financial investment, it is known that both products are substitutes. This
relationship also represented by the sum of health and financial investment
coverage which always values 100%. Moreover, the preferred investment cost has
an increasing trend each year without getting affected by real-time economical
conditions. Despite the possibility that it might be affected, the investments offered
to the individuals must align with their investment decision. This alignment is
important to be acknowledged in order to generate an investment which one would
consider as suitable.
Item Type: | Thesis (Bachelor) |
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Creators: | Creators NIM Email ORCID Satyahadi, Nicholas NIM00000019604 nicholasatyahadi@gmail.com UNSPECIFIED |
Contributors: | Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Margaretha, Helena NIDN0312057504 helena.margaretha@uph.edu Thesis advisor Ferdinand, Ferry Vincenttius NIDN0323059001 ferry.vincenttius@uph.edu |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | investasi; risiko; utilitas; perilaku; risk averse; simulasi |
Subjects: | Q Science > Q Science (General) Q Science > QA Mathematics |
Divisions: | University Subject > Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Faculty of Science and Technology > Mathematics |
Depositing User: | Users 5919 not found. |
Date Deposited: | 15 Jul 2020 02:21 |
Last Modified: | 15 Jul 2020 02:21 |
URI: | http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/9267 |