Tjin, Elly S. (2019) Pengaruh nilai prospect tversky-kahneman terhadap return saham = Effects of tversky-kahneman prospect value on stock returns. Masters thesis, Universitas Pelita Harapan.
![Title [thumbnail of Title]](http://repository.uph.edu/style/images/fileicons/text.png)
title.pdf
Restricted to Registered users only
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (1MB)
Preview
abstract.pdf
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (293kB) | Preview
Preview
toc.pdf
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (653kB) | Preview
Preview
chapter 1.pdf
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (711kB) | Preview
![Chapter 2 [thumbnail of Chapter 2]](http://repository.uph.edu/style/images/fileicons/text.png)
chapter 2.pdf
Restricted to Registered users only
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (1MB)
![Chapter 3 [thumbnail of Chapter 3]](http://repository.uph.edu/style/images/fileicons/text.png)
chapter 3.pdf
Restricted to Registered users only
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (1MB)
![Chapter 4 [thumbnail of Chapter 4]](http://repository.uph.edu/style/images/fileicons/text.png)
chapter 4.pdf
Restricted to Registered users only
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (1MB)
![Chapter 5 [thumbnail of Chapter 5]](http://repository.uph.edu/style/images/fileicons/text.png)
chapter 5.pdf
Restricted to Registered users only
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (212kB)
Preview
bibliography.pdf
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (216kB) | Preview
Abstract
Prospect Theory is a behavior which affects an investor to make a decision
based on the potential value of losses and gains rather than the final outcome
when the investor takes a decision in stock investment. Kahneman and Tversky
(1979) criticized Expected Utility Theory as a descriptive model of decision
making under risk, and developed an alternative model which called Prospect
Theory. In 1992, Tversky and Kahneman proposed a modified version of Prospect
Theory known as the Cumulative Prospect Theory, using a value function and
weighting function to determine the presence or absence of a Prospect Theory
behavior in the sample group. To compute the stock’s Prospect Theory value
labelled TK Factor, this study implemented the formula “TK” which means
Tversky and Kahneman (1992). The parameters implemented in this study was
according to Tversky and Kahneman (1992). This study was conducted to
determine the effect of TK Factor on stock returns. This study collected data from
companies listed on The Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the year 2002-2016
and data from The Indonesia Capital Market Institute (TICMI). The findings of
TK Factor using Fama French Three-Factors on portfolios of stock returns shows
that TK Factor has negative effect on stock returns however with a very small
difference so that it can be considered that the effect of TK Factor is small on the
portfolios of stock returns. Nevertheless, the findings of TK Factor using FamaMacBeth process shows the predictive power of TK Factor on stock returns which
proves the effect of Prospect Theory on stock returns in Indonesia. / Prospect Theory merupakan suatu kecenderungan pada seorang investor
untuk membuat keputusan berdasarkan nilai potensial keuntungan dan kerugian
daripada hasil akhir ketika investor mengambil keputusan dalam berinvestasi
saham. Kahneman dan Tversky (1979) mengkritik Expected Utility Theory
sebagai model deskriptif pengambilan keputusan di bawah resiko, dan
mengembangkan model alternatif yang disebut Prospect Theory. Pada tahun
1992, Tversky dan Kahneman mengusulkan versi Propect Theory yang telah
dimodifikasi yang dikenal sebagai Cumulative Prospect Theory, dengan
menggunakan metode perhitungan fungsi nilai (value function) dan fungsi
pembobotan (weighting function) yang digunakan untuk mengetahui ada tidaknya
kecenderungan Prospect Theory pada kelompok sampel. Untuk menghitung nilai
Prospect Theory saham yang disebut Faktor TK, penelitian ini menggunakan
formula “TK” yang berarti Tversky dan Kahneman (1992). Parameter yang
digunakan dalam penelitian ini sesuai dengan parameter Tversky dan Kahneman
(1992). Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengetahui pengaruh Faktor TK terhadap
return saham. Penelitian ini menggunakan data perusahaan-perusahaan yang
terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) pada tahun 2002-2016 dan data yang
berasal dari The Indonesia Capital Market Institute (TICMI). Hasil perhitungan
Faktor TK dengan menggunakan Fama French Three-Factor terhadap portofolio
return saham menunjukkan Faktor TK berpengaruh negatif terhadap return
saham, akan tetapi dengan perbedaan yang sangat kecil sehingga bisa dianggap
pengaruh Faktor TK kecil terhadap portofolio return saham. Walaupun demikian,
hasil perhitungan Faktor TK dengan menggunakan proses Fama-MacBeth
menunjukkan kekuatan prediktif Faktor TK terhadap return saham yang
membuktikan pengaruh Prospect Theory berlaku pada return saham di Indonesia.
Item Type: | Thesis (Masters) |
---|---|
Creators: | Creators NIM Email ORCID Tjin, Elly S. NIM00000028896 UNSPECIFIED UNSPECIFIED |
Contributors: | Contribution Contributors NIDN/NIDK Email Thesis advisor Kim, Sung Suk NIDN0324106805 UNSPECIFIED |
Additional Information: | T 19-16 TJI p |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | TK Factor ; Stock Return ; Prospect Theory |
Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor > HD28 Management. Industrial Management |
Divisions: | University Subject > Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Business School > Master of Management Current > Faculty/School - UPH Karawaci > Business School > Master of Management |
Depositing User: | Phillips Iman Heri Wahyudi |
Date Deposited: | 07 May 2021 02:19 |
Last Modified: | 26 Oct 2023 01:37 |
URI: | http://repository.uph.edu/id/eprint/35604 |